Why the Ukrainian Army Doesn't Attack the Russian Convoy: An Analysis
There has been much speculation and confusion regarding the Ukrainian Navy's approach to engaging the Russian convoy in the Black Sea. This article aims to clarify the reasons behind this strategy, focusing on recent developments and the current state of the Black Sea Fleet.
Recent Developments in the Black Sea
The Ukrainian military has made significant achievements in neutralizing the Black Sea Fleet, a fact often overlooked in the context of the broader conflict. A notable example is the sinking of the Russian flagship, the Moskva, which marks a significant setback for Russian naval capabilities in the region.
Dispelling Myths About the Russian Convoy
It is often mentioned that there is no "massive Russian convoy" in the Black Sea. However, this is a simplification that does not address the broader context of naval operations and strategic assets. The disappearance of Russian naval assets such as the Moskva can be attributed to the superior Ukrainian naval capabilities rather than the non-existence of a convoy.
Reasons Behind the Lack of Attacks on the Russian Convoy
The Ukrainian Navy has been successful in significantly weakening the Russian Black Sea Fleet. They have sunk the Moskva, damaged or sunk other crucial vessels, and severely crippled the fleet's air arm. In response, the remaining vessels have been withdrawn to Novorossiysk, east of the Black Sea, to protect them from further attacks.
Strategic Considerations for the Ukrainian Military
The Ukrainian military's focus on land and air operations has been strategic, given the nature of the conflict. Sea-based attacks, while notable, are less effective when conducted without the necessary missile support or troop presence. Sinking ships is a potent strategy, but it is only effective when the vessels can approach the Ukrainian defenses without being detected.
The Fleet's Current State
The current state of the Black Sea Fleet is one of retreat and regrouping. With the majority of the fleet having withdrawn to Novorossiysk, any attempts to launch attacks on the Black Sea Fleet by the Ukrainian military would be highly risky and costly. Instead, the focus is on maintaining pressure in the land and air domains, where the Ukrainians have a greater tactical advantage.
Conclusion
The Ukrainian Navy's approach to the Black Sea Fleet is a strategic choice that reflects the overall nature of the conflict. The destruction of the Moskva and other vessels has significantly weakened Russian naval capabilities in the region. However, the strategic withdrawal of the remaining fleet to the east makes further attacks less feasible. The Ukrainian military's focus remains on land and air operations, aligning with the broader strategy of a more balanced and effective use of resources.
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